By The Numbers: As The World Cup Teams-costs - Of The Death Overs > Cricket News, cricinfo, mobilecric, cricbuzz, livescore and more
Cricket news - In Numbers: How the World Cup teams fare - The Death overs
With the World Cup in the horizon, Cricbuzz - in a three-part series - investigates how the teams have fared at various stages of an ODI match in the current World Cup cycle (since April 2015), namely Powerplay, middle overs and death overs.
Last up, the death overs.
The two standout teams and the two hot favorites in the upcoming World Cup are hosts England, ranked number one, and the number two ranked India. A contest can be won or lost in the final ten overs of the innings and it is this phase which moves at a more rapid pace compared to the other two (Powerplay & middle overs). Like the other two segments, England are the leaders in batting in the final ten overs while India hold the aces in the bowling department.
Teams batting in overs 41-50
England score at well over a run compared to the global average of 7.27 in this phase and are the only side to have an eight-plus run rate in the final ten (8.35). Despite losing the fifth-most number of wickets in this phase, they return with the best ratio for runs per wicket thanks to the amount of runs they score in the last ten. They have managed to score 100 or more runs between overs 41 and 50 on 12 instances which is the most by any team in the last four years and three more than the second placed side.
England have packed their batting line-up with players who can use the long handle down to number ten and even 11, and this tactic has brought them success. The likes of Chris Woakes, Adil Rashid, Liam Plunkett and Tom Curran have all contributed useful runs at the end of an innings and the newbie Jofra Archer adds to the muscle. However, the two standout batsmen for them in this phase are Jos Buttler and Eoin Morgan.
Buttler is the leading run-getter in this phase among all teams with 902 runs scored at a rate of 181 per 100 balls. Buttler married the high scoring rate with impressive consistency as his average of 64.43 and balls per dismissal of 35.6 suggests. To bring in perspective, the corresponding global values are 21.46 and 17.7 respectively. Buttler's 360-degree scoring patterns are comparable with AB de Villiers who was in a similar vein of form leading up to the last World Cup.
Buttler hits a boundary every 3.7 deliveries which is more than twice better than the global average of 7.9. There are three instances of batsman scoring 100-plus runs in overs 41-50 in the last four years and two of those have come from Buttler - 104 runs against Pakistan in Dubai in 2015 and 105 runs against West Indies in St George's earlier this year.
Highest SR in overs 41-50 (250+ runs)
The batsman with most runs in an innings in the last ten is Rohit Sharma, who scored 107 of his 208 runs against Sri Lanka in Mohali in 2017. In the ten innings that Rohit has managed to bat past the 40th over, he has scored 313 runs at a strike rate of 199.36 - the highest strike rate for any batsman in the death overs (100+ runs).
India has been largely reliant on the likes of Rohit and Virat Kohli for a good run in the final ten overs and it is these two who are at the top of strike rate charts in overs 41-50 with 199.36 and 140.55 respectively. In the 26 matches where at least one of the two batted past the 40th over, India have scored at a rate of 8.33 while in the absence of them the scoring rate nosedives to 7.24.
MS Dhoni (SR 120.57), Hardik Pandya (127.60), Ambati Rayudu (118.75) and Ravindra Jadeja (101.05) have all been below par while Kedar Jadhav has done decently well with a strike rate of 136.39. This explains why India's scoring rate in final ten overs is only the fifth-best despite being on top for so many batting parameters overall.
Teams bowling in overs 41-50
When it comes to bowling in the death, India are the best side on conditions across the globe. In terms of economy rate in overs 41-50, India's 6.86 is only bettered by Afghanistan's 6.25 but most of latter's matches have been played in spin-friendly surfaces of the sub-continent and Zimbabwe.
India's numbers in this phase, have grown leaps and bounds post the Champions Trophy final debacle in June 2017. In the 32 matches till Champions Trophy final, India conceded at 7.58 in the final ten and 12 300-plus total were registered against them in 32 games. Since then, the death overs economy rate has dipped to 6.37 and the number of 300-plus totals against India came down to seven from a larger sample of 54 games.
And they have done well in a host of varied conditions. At home, they have taken 45 wickets in the final ten from 17 ODIs at an average of 23.22 and economy of 6.77 while in 26 games away from home they have had 82 wickets from 26 ODIs with the corresponding parameters reading 14.41 and 6.06 respectively.
One man chiefly responsible for India's rise in death-bowling stocks has been Jasprit Bumrah, the number one ranked bowler in the world in ICC ratings. His 44 wickets between overs 41 and 50 is the most by any bowler in the current World Cup cycle and his economy rate reads a scarcely believable 5.76 - the best for any fast bowler who bowled at least 30 overs in this phase.
Bumrah has had outstanding support from the other end with Bhuvneshwar Kumar picking up 31 scalps (ER 7.16). The spin twins Kuldeep Yadav and Yuzvendra Chahal have bowled well in this phase, though most of their overs have come between 41 and 45, taking 17 and 20 wickets each at economy rates of 6.47 and 5.15 respectively. In the 16 matches since his ODI return after a long layoff, Mohammed Shami's has taken eight wickets from 39 overs at the death with an impressive economy rate of 6.59.
The third side with a sub-seven economy rate in the final ten is Bangladesh (6.99). Like Bumrah for India, the key man for them in this phase is Mustafizur Rahman. He has picked 29 wickets at 15.31 with an impressive economy rate of 5.91 per over. However, Bangladesh has struggled in this phase in away games compared to home as the economy rates point to - 6.22 at home which plunges to 7.70 away.
Mustafizur has been difficult to score off in the tracks in the sub-continent where his fast-ish cutters grip the surface better. But how he fine-tunes his game in the placid English tracks will be a massive factor for Bangladesh's prospects in the upcoming tournament.
While the batting numbers are beyond a doubt the best for England, their bowlers have suffered at the hands of the opposition batsman, which is also a by-product of playing most of their matches in batting friendly surfaces in England. In the recent series against a side like Pakistan who areb't renowned for their batting might, England leaked at 8.52 runs per overs at the death. England's economy rate in this phase in the last four years read 7.66, which is only ahead of West Indies (8.19) and Sri Lanka (8.29) among the sides featuring in the upcoming World Cup.
Though he hasn't been among wickets, Mark Wood (seven wickets at an economy of 6.48) is the only England bowler with a sub-seven economy rate in overs 41-50. England will hope Jofra Archer can replicate the success he has had in T20 leagues across the globe.
Unlike their exploits in the Powerplay overs, New Zealand bowlers have struggled largely in the death overs. Matt Henry (8.62) and Tim Southee (8.42) have been among the most expensive death bowlers, while Trent Boult is just about par with his ER reading 7.25. Lockie Ferguson has been impressive with an ER of 6.34 but is coming on the back of a tough time in IPL where he conceded 12.14 in the death overs (16-20) before getting benched for most of the second half. Trent Boult conceded at 11.08 in IPL 2019 in the last five overs while Tim Southee's read a miserable 20.00 runs per over in the three games he featured in.
Best ER in overs 41-50 (30+ overs)
Sri Lanka are the worst side in the final ten with the ball, with an ER of 8.29, and have conceded over 100 on eight occasions - the joint most for a team alongside West Indies, who have the second worst ER (8.19) among the sides participating in World Cup 2019. Lasith Malinga, once a doyen of this phase, goes at 8.29 per over while Suranga Lakmal (9.40), Nuwan Pradeep (9.75) and Thisara Perera (9.99) all go at well above nine-an-over.
Pakistan, renowned for their bowling, have done better with the bat than with the ball in this phase. Asif Ali (SR 169.89 in overs 41-50) has added muscle to their lower middle order with Shoaib Malik still going strong (SR 149.68). Pakistan would be better served if Sarfaraz moves to number four and Malik bats at five, as the former has a game better suited to manipulate spinners. Sarfaraz has been found wanting in the power game and he has struck just two sixes in this phase, giving him the worst balls per six ratio of 132.5 (minimum 250 runs in overs 41-50). The problem for Pakistan has been mostly with the laid back scoring from their top order batsmen, which makes the lower middle-order playing catch up for the most part in the final ten.
South Africa is the second-best side in death overs run rate with 7.93 per over but have suffered a dip following the loss of their middle order backbone in AB de Villiers. De Villiers struck at 181.52 in the death overs, hitting a six every 8.1 balls (second best behind Rohit's 7.1). Till December 2017, they scored at 8.14 in this phase, which has now fallen to 7.22 in the 18 months since, a period during which De Villiers announced his retirement from the international circuit.
If the conditions in England remain ripe for batting, this World Cup could well turn out to be a bat vs bat contest. And, the home side looks best placed to win their maiden 50-over title in their backyard thanks to the explosive batting order which is well capable of putting 350-plus on a consistent basis. While the gap is shortening with other sides trying to replicate England's method, at the moment England are ahead from the rest of the pack which gives them the edge for the mega event.
* All stats updated till April 30, 2019
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