Qualification Scenarios: Afghanistan Can Afford Slim Loss To India, Given They Beat NZ

Cricket News By TODAYLIVESCORE.INFO - Qualification scenarios: Afghanistan can afford slim loss to India, given they beat NZ. Afghanistan can afford a slim loss to India on Wednesday, given they beat New Zealand

Qualification Scenarios: Afghanistan Can Afford Slim Loss To India, Given They Beat NZAfghanistan can afford a slim loss to India on Wednesday, given they beat New Zealand

Pakistan's comfortable win over Namibia made them the first side to officially qualify for the semifinals of T20 WC 2021 with four wins in as many games. The defeat for Bangladesh earlier in the day saw them getting knocked out along with Sri Lanka from Group 1. Here's how things stand for the other teams.



With four wins in as many games and a healthy net run rate, England have one foot in the knockouts already with a game in hand. If Australia loses one of their two remaining games, England will be through even before they play their last game. The only way England can be eliminated is if they lose by a margin of around 80 runs to South Africa and Australia win their last two matches by a combined aggregate of around 165 runs. In that scenario, all three of England, South Africa, and Australia will be tied on four wins each and England will be knocked out on net run rate.

Remaining game: vs South Africa, Sharjah, Nov 6

South Africa

After a losing start, South Africa have been on a roll winning three in a row and a win in their final league game against England should see them through thanks to their superior net run rate of 0.742 compared to Australia's -0.627, the other team that can get to eight points. If South Africa lose to England and Australia win their two remaining games, South Africa will be eliminated. If South Africa lose to England, but Australia manage to win only one, they will be tied on six points with South Africa and possibly West Indies (if Australia beat Bangladesh and West Indies beat both Australia and Sri Lanka) which would most likely end in South Africa's favour thanks to their superior net run rate.

Remaining game: vs England, Sharjah, Nov 6


After two wins to set off their campaign, Australia now finds themselves on the back foot after a crushing defeat to archrivals England which saw their net run rate plummet to -0.627. Their ideal case scenario is them beating both Bangladesh and West Indies, and South Africa losing to England. If South Africa manage to get the better of England, even two wins might not suffice for Australia because of South Africa's higher net run rate. Another scenario Australia could find themselves is three teams – Australia, South Africa, and West Indies – tied on six points each and net run rate coming to be the decider. As of how things stand, South Africa are best placed to progress if net run rate is the decider.

Remaining games: vs Bangladesh, Dubai, Nov 4; vs West Indies, Abu Dhabi, Nov 6

West Indies

Starting as one of the pre-tournament favourites, West Indies never really got going in the tournament. Their net run rate of -1.598 is the worst in Group 1 and the only way they could progress is if they can win their final two games by a combined aggregate of around 95 runs, England beat South Africa by around 50 runs and Australia beat Bangladesh, not by more than 40 runs. If they drop one of their remaining games or if South Africa beat England, the defending champions will stand eliminated.

Remaining games: vs Sri Lanka, Abu Dhabi, Nov 4; vs Australia, Abu Dhabi, Nov 6


New Zealand

New Zealand is best placed in Group 2 to join Pakistan in the knockouts. If they win all their remaining matches, they are through irrespective of other results. If they lose to Afghanistan and beat Scotland and Namibia, they could get tied on six points each if India wins their three remaining matches. As of how things stand, Afghanistan (+3.097) has a better net run rate than both India (-1.609) and New Zealand (0.765). New Zealand though doesn't have the best of the schedules – they have to play their last three matches at three venues with a day's gap between the games.

Remaining games: vs Scotland, Dubai, Nov 3; vs Namibia, Sharjah, Nov 5; vs Afg, Abu Dhabi, Nov 7


Afghanistan have done themselves a big favour by beating Scotland and Namibia by huge margins and giving their net run rate a massive boost. Their most crucial fixture is against New Zealand on November 7. They can even afford to lose to India as long as their net run rate does not take a big hit, given that they can defeat New Zealand. Having said that, Afghanistan's best-case scenario is them beating both New Zealand and India and qualifying without net run rate coming into play.

Remaining games: vs India, Abu Dhabi, Nov 3; vs New Zealand, Abu Dhabi, Nov 7


With two defeats in as many matches, India unexpectedly find themselves on the brink of elimination. Their fate is not in their own hands anymore and even if they win all their remaining three matches, they could still get eliminated if New Zealand also win all their remaining matches. The best-case scenario for India would be them winning all three matches left, Afghanistan beating New Zealand and then all three teams tied on six points and net run rate being the decider. Having said that, India's net run rate of -1.609 is way behind that of Afghanistan (3.097) and New Zealand (0.765) and would need major repair works for a net run rate boost. India play the final game of the group and would have the advantage of knowing the exact equation beforehand, should they stay alive up until then.

Remaining games: vs Afghanistan, Abu Dhabi, Nov 3; vs Scotland, Dubai, Nov 5; vs Namibia, Dubai, Nov 7

Namibia & Scotland

With two defeats each, the only way these two teams can qualify is by winning all their remaining matches and getting to six points and qualifying by virtue of a better net run rate. However, Scotland's net run rate is -3.562 and Namibia's -1.599 and would need to win their remaining matches by big margins to stand any chance.

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